Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 1.305910 1.602356 1.984156 2.527103 3.306546 4.433049 6.287519
2025-02-23 0.934993 1.264966 1.759609 2.611567 4.188052 7.393575 16.180581
2025-03-02 0.755385 1.089523 1.645276 2.750583 5.288251 12.592036 53.623712
2025-03-09 0.628978 0.946317 1.512818 2.763883 6.181533 19.922987 252.872133
2025-03-16 0.529430 0.818622 1.359622 2.644461 6.644188 28.264541 3109.735917
2025-03-23 0.478747 0.763298 1.324864 2.779290 8.136778 54.170895 NaN
2025-03-30 0.431135 0.702931 1.261053 2.806793 9.363385 102.009705 NaN
2025-04-06 0.386577 0.640078 1.175284 2.730928 10.085673 180.027745 NaN
2025-04-13 0.351417 0.589972 1.106461 2.676663 10.935657 372.621647 NaN
2025-04-20 0.337114 0.579312 1.126706 2.928077 14.545282 5538.644110 NaN
2025-04-27 0.319670 0.559209 1.118930 3.082253 18.262897 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 0.298274 0.527602 1.074829 3.075322 20.643264 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 0.274797 0.489327 1.007786 2.951984 21.499135 NaN NaN
2025-05-18 0.260845 0.470560 0.990177 3.040687 26.396225 NaN NaN
2025-05-25 0.250515 0.458560 0.988819 3.209686 35.033536 NaN NaN
2025-06-01 0.237187 0.438064 0.959091 3.225424 41.379455 NaN NaN
2025-06-08 0.221380 0.410194 0.903060 3.076998 42.050379 NaN NaN
2025-06-15 0.214254 0.401961 0.904157 3.244386 58.159169 NaN NaN
2025-06-22 0.204912 0.387445 0.883461 3.278625 71.638530 NaN NaN
2025-06-29 0.193970 0.368072 0.844591 3.184236 76.876068 NaN NaN
2025-07-06 0.184479 0.351459 0.812157 3.116871 84.706067 NaN NaN
2025-07-13 0.182131 0.352104 0.835194 3.430014 157.372945 NaN NaN
2025-07-20 0.177717 0.347145 0.839012 3.623330 271.708716 NaN NaN